The Pac-12 produced fewer NFL Draft selections than it has in eight years and less than half as many as the SEC. It trailed the Big Ten and ACC by large margins, as well.
On the surface, the weekend couldn’t have gone much worse.
But in the year of COVID, the surface is a fraught place to be. To cast final judgment on the Pac-12’s overall performance in Cleveland, a hefty dose of context is required.
The 28 total selections represent the fewest since the 2013 draft and a 12.5% year-over-year decrease.
However, the Pac-12 had substantially fewer players in the draft. Following the truncated season, a plethora of upperclassmen took advantage of the free year of eligibility and opted to return to school for 2021.
As a result, the pool of available prospects dropped from 57 in last year’s draft to 43 this weekend, according to the master list of players on NFL.com.
Put another way: The conference had 25 percent fewer players in the draft but only 12.5 percent fewer draft selections.
Of the 43 available, 28 were picked — or 65 percent, a higher selection rate than the conference delivered last year (56 percent) with what could be considered a normal talent pool.
Neither Utah nor Washington State had any players in the 2021 draft, while four more teams (ASU, Cal, Colorado and UCLA) had either one or two players available.
Framed in that manner, the total number of Pac-12 selections gains credibility when compared to other Power Five leagues, each of which played more games last fall and lost more production to the draft.
Total draft picks by conference:
SEC: 65
Big Ten: 44
ACC: 42
Pac-12: 28
Big 12: 22
Draft picks per team per conference:
SEC: 4.6
Big Ten: 3.1
ACC: 3.0
Pac-12: 2.3
Big 12: 2.2
Our verdict on the Pac-12’s draft performance favors nuance.
The total number of players selected was perfectly reasonable, if not impressive, given the reduced prospect pool, but the quality at the top was lacking: The conference had just three first-round picks — the upperclassmen who returned to school were not likely to be Day One selections — and only 11 selections in the top 100.
In other words, the draft reflects the broader state of the Pac-12 football. There’s quality depth, but the top is a bit thin.
To the winners and losers …
Winners: Oregon, Stanford and USC. Each program produced five draft picks, creating a three-way tie for conference bragging rights on the recruiting trail. Add Washington (four selections), and one-third of the conference accounted for two-thirds of the selections.
Loser: Pac-12 skill position talent. No receivers, tight ends or running backs were selected until USC wideout Amon-Ra St. Brown went to the Lions in the fourth round. It’s the first time this century the Pac-12 hasn’t produced a draft pick at those positions in the first three rounds.
Winner: Arizona. Defensive tackle Roy Lopez and running back Gary Brightwell went back-to-back in the sixth round (to the Texans and Giants, respectively), giving the Wildcats multiple draft picks for the first time since 2016.
Loser: Arizona. The program’s streak of not producing a top-three-round pick is nine years and counting.
Winners: Arizona State and Utah. The former had one pick (receiver Frank Darby), while the latter had none. So why are they winners? Both depth charts should be loaded in 2021.
Loser: Pac-12 talent pipeline. Edge rusher Jaelan Phillips, the former No. 1 recruit in the country became a UCLA signee and then a UCLA transfer. He ended his career at Miami — as the No. 18 pick in the first round.
Winner: Pac-12 opt outs. Five players who sat out the 2020 season were selected in the first two rounds: Oregon offensive tackle Penei Sewell and safety Jevon Holland, Washington edge rusher Joe Tryon and defensive tackle Levi Onwuzurike, and Stanford offensive tackle Walker Little. Could opting out have cost them a few spots? We’ll never know, but the end result likely won’t draw second-guessing from any of them.
Loser: Pac-12 quarterbacks. Seven QBs from other leagues were picked before the Pac-12’s one and only draftee: Stanford’s Davis Mills, who went in the third round. The number of returnees seemingly suggests a high level of quarterback play across the conference next season, but we’re not quite convinced.
Winner: Oregon State. Jonathan Smith’s program has generated multiple selections in back-to-back years.
Loser: The draft location. Nothing against Cleveland, but we preferred the 2020 version with Roger Goodell’s basement and Bill Belichick’s dog. (Because anything with dogs is better than anything without dogs.)
Winner: The SEC. The King of Conferences broke its own record with 65 selections, including 15 first rounders. The last time the SEC didn’t win the draft was 2006.
Loser: The Big 12. The conference, which played a full season in the fall, had no first-round picks and only 22 total selections. The main problem? Oklahoma and Texas produced just five selections each.
Winner: Alabama. The Crimson Tide accounted for eight of the top-38 picks in one of the most impressive draft performances in history. All in all, Alabama tied Ohio State (shocking!) for national honors, with 10 total picks.
Loser: Michigan. Two wins last fall; eight draft picks this spring. That’s bad math for Jim Harbaugh.
Winner: Cal. Safety Camryn Bynum went to the Vikings in the fourth round, becoming the third Cal defensive back selected in the past two years (Ashtyn Davis and Jaylinn Hawkins).
Loser: USC. The Trojans had one player drafted in the top 100, marking another disappointing display of elite talent production for what used to be a top-100 factory.
Winner: USC. Offensive tackle/guard Alijah Vera-Tucker was the No. 14 selection, allowing the Trojans to join Alabama as the only programs to have offensive linemen picked in the first round in each of the past two drafts. (Last year: Austin Jackson.) The situation would be ideal for USC, save for the fact that Vera-Tucker’s headed to the Jets.
