PHOENIX — Some voted for Donald Trump, others for Joe Biden. A few had never wanted anything to do with politics before they heard Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on a podcast or YouTube video.
Lined up outside a Phoenix wedding hall tucked between a freeway, a railroad track and a U-Haul rental center, the hundreds of people who turned out earlier this month to hear Kennedy speak shared little in common ideologically. What united them was a deep-seated distrust — of the media, of corporations and especially of the government — and a belief that Kennedy is the only person in politics willing to tell them the truth.
Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks at a voter rally Dec. 20 in Phoenix. Kennedy's appearance in a 2024 battleground state highlights how he could influence the election in ways that are tough to predict.
“I like that he talks to us like adults,” said Gilbert Limon, a 48-year-old pharmacist from Phoenix. “He tells you the majority of what you need to know. Whereas I feel like (other politicians) just give you bits and pieces to try to fit their agenda. I've had enough of that.”
Voters are not enthusiastic about a Biden-Trump rematch, and alternatives like Kennedy or the No Labels third-party movement, which would typically be longshots, see an opening. Kennedy's appearance in a 2024 battleground state highlights how he could influence the election in ways that are tough to predict.
Allies of both Trump and Biden have expressed concerns that Kennedy's independent bid could pull votes from their candidate in next year's expected general election rematch.
Gilbert Limon signs a petition Dec. 20 as he waits in line to enter a voter rally for Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in Phoenix.
Candidates from outside the Republican and Democratic parties rarely make a splash, if they can make the ballot to begin with. But third-party candidates don’t usually carry a famous last name like Kennedy’s, or his existing network of supporters.
Kennedy made the stop in Phoenix as part of his laborious push to get access to the 2024 presidential ballot as an independent candidate, which he figures will require him to collect at least a million signatures across the country. Aides mingled in the crowd, filling up his petitions to qualify in Arizona.
Ballot access for independent and minor-party candidates is an expensive and complicated process, with each state setting its own rules. Campaigns usually hire people to collect signatures and often need a small army of lawyers to challenge access rules and fight back against others trying to keep the candidates off the ballot.
American Values 2024, a super PAC supporting Kennedy, has pledged to spend $15 million to help him get on the ballot in 10 states. Kennedy secured a victory in Utah, where the lieutenant governor pushed back the deadline to qualify from January to March after Kennedy filed suit.
Kennedy is a member of one of the Democratic Party’s most famous families — his father was the attorney general for his uncle, President John F. Kennedy. But he's more recently built closer ties to the far right, where his conspiratorial and isolationist views are at home.
Voters wait to enter a voter rally Dec. 20 for Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in Phoenix.
Enriqueta Porras, a 52-year-old physician from Phoenix, voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Trump in 2020. She said she’s torn about the third-party conundrum. She’d like to vote for someone she believes in, like Kennedy, but also wants to make sure Biden loses and may vote strategically.
“I don’t want to be that person,” Porras said, “but I feel like there’s a lot at stake and that may just have to happen.”
One of the nation’s most prominent anti-vaccine activists, Kennedy has long had a loyal following of people who reject the scientific consensus that vaccines are safe and effective, and they form a backbone of his presidential campaign.
An organization that Kennedy founded, Children’s Health Defense, currently has a lawsuit pending against a number of news organizations, among them The Associated Press, accusing them of violating antitrust laws by taking action to identify misinformation, including about COVID-19 and COVID-19 vaccines.
Rigorous study and real-world evidence from hundreds of millions of administered shots prove that COVID-19 vaccines are safe and effective. Deaths caused by vaccination are extremely rare and the risks associated with not getting vaccinated are far higher than the risks of vaccination.
Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. interacts with voters Dec. 20 at a voter rally in Phoenix.
Debra Sheetz first started paying attention to Kennedy when she was doing her own research on COVID-19 vaccinations.
“I've been listening to him for the last several years,” she said. “I was so interested when he decided to make this big leap into politics because he has a lot of good ideas. He can really speak to what people really care about.”
Sheetz, 71, voted for Biden in 2020, she said sheepishly, because she found him to have “more balance, a little more sanity” compared with Trump. But she was disillusioned by Biden's support for pandemic-era restrictions and what she sees as a loss of freedom to speak freely.
Kennedy is keenly aware that his fans avoid the mainstream media, where journalists often flag the falsity of his vaccine claims, in favor of free-wheeling alternative sources online. He said he's drawing support especially from young people but struggling with people in his own generation.
Third party or independent candidates rarely do well in presidential contests. Even the most successful recent example, Ross Perot in 1992, didn’t win a single electoral vote despite winning 19% of the popular vote.
Sometimes, minor-party candidates will get enough votes that partisans will blame them for tipping the scales to elect the popular vote loser, like Ralph Nader in 2000 or Jill Stein in 2016, both Green Party candidates.
Photos: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. through the years
Robert Kennedy Jr., when asked why he was wearing a "Black is beautiful," button Thursday on April 1, 1982 in New York He points to his fiance Emily Black. Her reaction was even more simple. She just pointed to herself and smiled. The couple at Trax after friend gave Kennedy a bachelor party in New York earlier in the evening. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his wife Emily Black Kennedy, at right with Art Buchwald, center at a reception celebrating the publication of the autobiography of Virginia Durr, "Outside the Magic Circle", at the library of New York University on Feb 19, 1986, at New York. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)
President Bill Clinton chats with Ethel Kennedy, widow of Robert F. Kennedy, and her son, Robert Kennedy Jr., before the start of a memorial mass, Sunday, June 6, 1993 at the Arlington National Cemetery in Arlington, Virginia. Thousands joined the Kennedy family to honor RFK on the 25th anniversary of his death. (AP Photo/Greg Gibson)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. fishes with his son Bobby, 8, left, and daughter Kathleen, nicknamed "Kick," on the dock of his 11-acre Mount Kisco estate, Sept. 7, 1993.
Environmental lawyer Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks during a ceremony in Washington Tuesday July 22, 1997 where the Earth Conservation Corps released four three-month eagles. Challenger the Eagle, the only trained free-flying eagle in the U.S. who entertained during the event is at right. (AP Photo/Ruth Fremson)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. appears with Liz Claiborne at the Council of Fashion Designers of America awards in New York, Thursday, June 15, 2000. Claiborne was honored with the lifetime achievement award. (AP Photo/Mitch Jacobson)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., president of the Waterkeeper Alliance, addresses the delegates at the Democratic National Convention on Wednesday, July 28, 2004, in Boston. (AP Photo/Ron Edmonds)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., gestures while speaking at Unity College in Unity, Maine, Friday, Sept. 23, 2005. (AP Photo/Pat Wellenbach)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. testifies in Superior Court in Stamford, Conn., Tuesday, April 17, 2007, at a hearing to determine whether his cousin, Michael Skakel, should receive a new trial in the 1975 bludgeoning death of Martha Moxley. Skakel was tried and found guilty of Moxley's death in 2002. (AP Photo/Bob Child)
Actor Jim Carrey, left, and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. speak on Capitol Hill in Washington, Wednesday, June 4, 2008, during a rally calling for the elimination of toxins from children's vaccines. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks during the Green Sunday At Red Rocks Democratic National Convention welcoming concert in Morrison, Colo. on Sunday, Aug. 24, 2008. (AP Photo/Matt Sayles)
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., left, speaks with former United States President Bill Clinton during a ceremony to mark the official renaming of the Triborough Bridge to the Robert F. Kennedy Bridge in New York, Wednesday, Nov. 19, 2008. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
MSG: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his wife Mary arrive during funeral services for U.S. Senator Edward Kennedy at the Basilica of Our Lady of Perpetual Help in Boston, Massachusetts August 29, 2009. Senator Kennedy died late Tuesday after a battle with cancer. REUTERS/Brian Snyder
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., left, gestures as he speaks during a news conference as he endorses Gov. Charlie Crist, right, in Crist's independent candidacy for the Senate, Wednesday, Oct. 13, 2010 at Shelby's Kitchen & Deli in Deerfield Beach, Fla. (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)
Environmental lawyer Robert F. Kennedy Jr. makes remarks during a rally Monday, May 7, 2012, in Portland, Ore. Columbia Riverkeeper, the Sierra Club, Climate Solutions and Greenpeace sponsored the rally to fight a half-dozen proposals to ship coal from Montana and Wyoming to Asia through Northwest ports. The opponents warn of local problems from coal dust and long coal trains. They also say expanding Asian access to American coal would be bad for the world environment. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., left, and his children turn away after paying their respects at the casket of Mary Richardson Kennedy, in St. Francis Xavier Cemetery in Centerville, Mass., Saturday, May 19, 2012. Mary Richardson Kennedy was found dead of an apparent suicide last week at her home in Bedford, N.Y. (AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. attends the premiere of the HBO documentary "Ethel" at the Time Warner Center on Monday Oct. 15, 2012 in New York. (Photo by Evan Agostini/Invision/AP)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is arrested in Washington, Wednesday, Feb. 13, 2013, as prominent environmental leaders tied themselves to the White House gate to protest the Keystone XL oil pipeline. (AP Photo/Ann Heisenfelt)
Activist Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and his wife, actress Cheryl Hines, attend the Robert F. Kennedy Ripple of Hope Award ceremony, Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2014 in New York. (AP Photo/Jason DeCrow)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. arrives in the lobby of Trump Tower in New York, Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2017, for a meeting with President-elect Donald Trump. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
Woody Harrelson, left, star of "LBJ," embraces Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at the premiere of the film at the ArcLight Hollywood on Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2017, in Los Angeles. (Photo by Chris Pizzello/Invision/AP)
Cheryl Hines, right, and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. appear in the audience at the 24th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards at the Shrine Auditorium & Expo Hall on Sunday, Jan. 21, 2018, in Los Angeles. (Photo by Vince Bucci/Invision/AP)
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. attends the 2018 Robert F. Kennedy Human Rights Ripple of Hope Awards at the New York Hilton Midtown on Wednesday, Dec. 12, 2018, in New York. (Photo by Andy Kropa/Invision/AP)
Attorney Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. speaks after a hearing challenging the constitutionality of the state legislature's repeal of the religious exemption to vaccination on behalf of New York state families who held lawful religious exemptions, during a rally outside the Albany County Courthouse Wednesday, Aug. 14, 2019, in Albany, N.Y. (AP Photo/Hans Pennink)
Attorney Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., speaks against proposed Democratic bills that would add new doses of vaccines to attend school, during a protest rally on behalf of New York state families against the vaccination of children at the Capitol, Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2020, in Albany, N.Y. (AP Photo/Hans Pennink)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., son of Robert Kennedy, stages a protest against the COVID-19 vaccination green pass in Milan, Italy, Saturday, Nov. 13, 2021. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks at an event where he announced his run for president on Wednesday, April 19, 2023, at the Boston Park Plaza Hotel, in Boston. (AP Photo/Josh Reynolds)
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., arrives to testify before a House Judiciary Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government hearing on Capitol Hill in Washington, Thursday, July 20, 2023. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)



