While Arizona reached a grim milestone this weekend, surpassing more than 5,000 confirmed coronavirus deaths, some experts are now pointing to jumps in total fatalities β including 20% in Pima County in 2020 β as proof that hundreds more deaths could be indirectly attributed to the virus.
Nearly 7,000 Pima County residents died from all causes through the first seven months of 2020, representing an increase of more than 900 deaths from this point a year ago and a 20% upsurge from the average of the previous five years, according to preliminary figures released by the Arizona Department of Health Services.
That included more than 2,100 overall deaths in June and July, an increase of more than 500 from the same months in 2019 and 40% from the average of the previous five years, data shows. Pima County experienced highs in case numbers, deaths and hospitalizations during the summer months.
Statewide, more than 42,000 Arizonans died from all causes in the first seven months of 2020, representing a 25% jump from the average of the previous years. Just over 14,000 Arizonans died in June and July, a 55% increase from the average of the previous five years.
As of Saturday, the Arizona Department of Health Services had confirmed 5,007 deaths from the coronavirus, including 575 deaths in Pima County, although that does not account for a number of deaths that may be reported up to a month later through processes like death certificate matching and surveying.
Direct or indirect relation
With a large discrepancy between the number of confirmed coronavirus deaths and total deaths, experts are now connecting the dots between the two, saying that a large chunk of the difference will likely be traced back to the pandemic.
Will Humble, the executive director of Arizona Public Health Association, which published a study on all-cause mortality this month, said the death toll increase is largely pinned on those indirect causes.
He said the indirect deaths from the virus can be put into three buckets: delayed health care or people who opted not to seek medical treatment; recovery from the virus, or people who later died because of the long-lasting effects of the virus, such as a weakened immune system; and the lack of elective surgeries, where some people died after hospitals paused the surgeries to handle surges in coronavirus patients.
βThere is, in some circles, mainly on Facebook and other places, some that suggest that the number of deaths from COVID-19 has been exaggerated, that death certificates have been inappropriately assigned to COVID-19. Unequivocally, this virus is causing far more deaths than we would normally be seeing in an average year,β said Humble, the former state health director.
He added that βit will be really challengingβ to go back and fully assess the total number of deaths stemming from the pandemic once itβs over.
βI think that many, if not most, of these unexplained deaths in 2020 will probably never be tied back,β he said, referring to those three categories of indirect deaths.
Dr. Joe Gerald, an associate professor with the University of Arizonaβs Zuckerman College of Public Health, said when looking at the raw death totals, the spike in overall deaths in July is βobvious.β
βThe thinking is that when all the dust settles back in July, itβs going to really stand out as one of the ones with the highest-ever reported in death counts reported for any reason and a lot of it is going to be due to COVID-19,β he said.
In a statement, Holly Poynter, a spokeswoman for the Arizona Department of Health Services, said a βfuller understandingβ of the death toll from the virus will come from reviewing final death certificate information and can take weeks or months to collect. She said death certificate counts tend to be lower than the counts by some surveillance definitions.
βDuring a public health emergency, surveillance definitions must be used for initial reporting because there is a lag collecting death certificate information in which doctors list causes of death. We need real-time data to help us understand what is happening and make the best possible public health recommendations. Death certificates are used in the final reporting,β she said.
βMilieuβ of issues
In Pima County, excess mortality is likely proof that βall the milieu of different issuesβ surrounding the coronavirus are likely contributors, according to Dr. Francisco Garcia, the countyβs chief medical officer.
βYes, there is excess mortality, and when all is said and done, it will probably be attributable in one way or another to the pandemic. It doesnβt mean that the actual infection was the cause of the death or a contributing factor to the death,β he said. βBut again there is something real here β it may not necessarily be an infectious process but itβs real. β¦ I think itβs all part of this infectious milieu.β
Last month, Dr. Greg Hess, the countyβs medical examiner, analyzed a spike in deaths after determining deaths reported to his office, which are only a small portion of those in the county, increased more than 27% than the average of the previous three years.
Despite speculation that coronavirus policy, including stay-home orders, could cause changes in death behaviors, that wasnβt necessarily the case. Motor vehicle deaths did not decrease, despite the expectation that less people would be driving because they were staying home. Suicide deaths did not increase after some suggested they would because of social isolation. The largest spike was in overdose deaths, a trend that had been seen before the pandemic.
The biggest takeaway from the analysis, Hess said, is that his office ended up accepting only 96 more deaths than an average year, not performing autopsies on the vast majority of deaths that were reported to the medical examinerβs office. Many of those rejected deaths are considered natural and typically would not be handled by his office in any other year.
As a result, his office has confirmed only 39 coronavirus deaths since March, as of Friday. He said a clearer picture of whatβs driving the increase in deaths in Pima County will be done later, once there is more data available such as death certificates, but that itβs βcertainly going to be harder later to determine how accurate your numbers are.β
βClearly there are going to be some (coronavirus cases) that are missed β theyβre never diagnosed, they never seek care, they are deceased in their home, they had been ill and they have other medical problems,β he said. βIβm sure there are going to be some of those are going to slip through the cracks.β
Counting cases depends on county
Asked whether the state has a standard in the stateβs counting of deaths, Steve Elliott, a health department spokesman, said, βIn order to be included in the death numbers, COVID-19 must be a cause of or contributing factor to death.β
But how coronavirus deaths are counted depends on the county, according to a review by the Star.
In Pima County, cases are counted if the positive test result and vital record death information is consistent with COVID-19 complications, or if the death certificate lists COVID-19 disease of SARS-CoV-2 as a cause of death or significantly contributing to death, according to health department spokesman Aaron Pacheco.
Cases are not counted as COVID-19 deaths if there was a negative test within three days of death, or if the person had a positive result and had an unrelated death, like from an automobile crash.
Death certificate causes of death are handled by the medical provider overseeing care at the time of death, which could be the personβs primary care provider, a physician in the ER, or in a small sub-set of cases, the medical examiner.
That process differs in other nearby counties.
In Maricopa County, where 2,950 deaths have been confirmed, all positive test results within 60 days of death are initially pulled into the total. Then cases are removed of people who died from injury or poisoning, through things like car accidents, gunshots and overdoses each month. That has accounted for only seven of those deaths, as of this week.
βPublic Health has consistently explained that we will not have a final count of deaths caused by and associated with COVID-19 until after the pandemic,β health department spokesman Ron Coleman said.
The Cochise County Health Department, where 60 coronavirus deaths have been confirmed, is counting deaths by notification by a hospital or provider report and death certificates that list COVID-19 disease or SARS-CoV-2 as a cause of death or a significant condition contributing to death, according to epidemiologist Marthan Montano.
In Santa Cruz County, where there have been 57 coronavirus deaths, cases are counted if the decedent was a positive or a presumptive positive, based on an epidemiological link, such as potentially being exposed to a COVID-19-positive person, according to Fernando Silvas, epidemiologist of the Santa Cruz County Health Department.
He added that all of the locals that have died or been hospitalized have been transferred out of jurisdiction, so they rely on the hospital for notification of positive tests. But tracking down deaths βhas not been much of an issue for usβ because of their small number.''
Photos: April coronavirus patient drill at Tucson Medical Center
Tucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
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UpdatedArizona governor touts COVID vaccine coming soon; spurns calls for curfews, other rules
UpdatedPHOENIX β Arizona is expected to receive βhundreds of thousandsβ of COVID-19 vaccine doses by the end of this month, with priority for health-care workers, teachers, vulnerable populations and long-term-care residents, the stateβs health chief said Wednesday.
The announcement came as Dr. Cara Christ also disclosed that 1 person out of every 7 who got tested for the virus last week in Arizona was infected. She also reported a new one-day record for cases.
But Gov. Doug Ducey, standing by her side, refused to put any new mitigation measures or restrictions in place to get the state to the point where a majority of Arizonans can be inoculated.
He specifically rejected a proposal by the chief medical officers of several Arizona hospitals to put in place a curfew, close restaurants to indoor dining and cancel group athletic activities. Instead, Ducey said he is relying on the idea that Arizona will have sufficient hospital beds to treat those who get ill in the interim.
However, that assumes hospitals can find the qualified medical personnel to staff these beds.
Earlier Wednesday, Marjorie Bessel, chief clinical officer for Banner Health, said the problem now, unlike this summer when virus cases peaked here, is that Arizona is no longer the state with the biggest surge. That makes it difficult to recruit help from elsewhere.
And while Banner is in the process of filling 1,500 positions, she said efforts are still underway to hire 900 more.
Ducey did agree Wednesday to provide an additional $60 million to Arizona hospitals to help them find the staff they need to handle the surge of people needing medical care. That is on top of a $25 million infusion less than a month ago.
βGrimβ forecasts for this month and next
Bessel said the picture in Arizona is βgrim,β predicting that Banner hospitals will hit 125% of bed capacity this month and exceed that, at least briefly, in January.
That trend is not unique to Banner.
Intensive-care-unit bed use is already at 90% of capacity in the state, the most recent data from the Arizona Department of Health Services shows.
Hitting 125% is not necessarily a problem as hospitals are required to have plans in place for such a surge, including converting non-ICU beds and other facilities for intensive-care use.
But the Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation predicts the demand for ICU beds will hit 300% of capacity in Arizona by the middle of January unless there are additional steps taken to curb the spread of the virus.
It was for that reason that Bessel and medical officers from Mayo Clinic and Dignity Health specifically asked Christ this week to impose the additional restrictions.
Bessel specifically praised Tucson Mayor Regina Romero and the City Council for voting Tuesday to impose a 10 p.m. curfew for three weeks.
βA curfew is mitigation that absolutely can work,β Bessel said. βIt can work and it will work if we deploy it.β
Ducey is not willing to take such steps, even as he conceded that the vaccines, which will only start to be available later this month β and only for those in the highest priority classes β wonβt make any immediate dent in an increasing trend in cases.
βWe are in for a tough several weeks here,β the governor said at his news conference Wednesday.
He said he was giving his βmost sincere condolencesβ to the families of the 6,739 people in Arizona who have died so far from COVID-19.
βWe grieve every death in Arizona and want to continue to do everything we can to contain the spread of this virus and protect lives,β Ducey said.
Ducey: Curfews βnot the right approachβ
But that wonβt include the kind of new restrictions being urged by the hospital medical chiefs and others, and not the kind of curfew that takes effect Friday, Dec. 4, in Tucson.
βI donβt think itβs the right approach,β Ducey said. βWe want to do things that will allow businesses to operate safely.β
He said the continuing restrictions imposed in late June, like occupancy limits on in-house restaurant dining, movie theaters and fitness centers, along with enforcement, βwill be the best things we can do to continue to slow the spread.β
He brushed aside questions about the fact that the spread is not slowing, even as Christ acknowledged that 15% of the tests for the virus conducted last week are coming back positive.
βThis week weβre trending higher,β she said.
The number of new cases reported per day hit a record on Nov. 23 in the state. Figures for more recent dates are still being updated.
For Ducey, the focus is on the economy.
βI donβt think the right answer is to throw hundreds of thousands of Arizonans out of work before the holidays to slow this spread because I donβt think it would slow the spread,β he said.
He said there are other complications of restrictions, βlike suicide attempts, like depression, like emotional and social disconnection, like child abuse and like domestic violence.β
Safety measures for large events
The lone new regulation of sorts that Ducey did impose Wednesday is not anything the state would enforce.
His current executive orders prohibit gatherings of more than 50 unless local governments approve. Now, he said, these governments will have to have a written agreement with event organizers that they will require and enforce certain safety measures, like distancing and the use of masks.
Nothing in Duceyβs orders affects activities he said are protected by the First Amendment, like the rallies the governor attended this year during President Trumpβs campaign.
That, then, leaves the vaccines.
More financial help for restaurants
Ducey said first priority will go to health-care and essential public-safety workers, residents of long-term-care facilities and other βvulnerableβ populations.
He is specifically including teachers in that first group.
That dovetails with his often-repeated argument that he wants more in-classroom teaching and less online education. The premise is that once teachers have immunity, they will be more willing to return to work in classrooms.
The date for vaccines for all Arizonans has yet to be determined.
Ducey issued an executive order Wednesday spelling out that all residents will be able to get inoculated βwithout financial barriers.β
Ducey also set aside $1 million in grants to help restaurants and other dining facilities expand their outdoor dining operations.
There is a separate $100,000 going to the Arizona Restaurant Association for the same purpose, and another $100,000 to the Arizona Lodging and Tourism Association to aid hotels and their restaurants in strengthening their sanitation and mitigation practices to protect patrons and staff.
Not everything being done for restaurants is financial.
Ducey is suspending a provision in law that says restaurants can serve alcoholic beverages only to patrons dining in-house or at an outdoor patio directly connected to the business. That has proven to be a barrier for restaurants that have received local permission to operate in parking lots and on cordoned-off areas of the street where there is a sidewalk in between.
Tucson Medical Center and the Tucson Fire Department held a drill on April 10, 2020, to help establish procedures and solve problems when hand…
Pima County keeps voluntary curfew, enhances penalties for violating COVID-19 rules
UpdatedThe Pima County supervisors voted Friday to strengthen penalties related to noncompliance with COVID-19 regulations, including the potential suspension of restaurant licenses and civil penalties for people not wearing a mask in public.
In addition to several new enforcement actions, the Board of Supervisors also endorsed a strengthened public-health advisory by the Pima County Health Department that now requires businesses to report any known coronavirus cases.
The countyβs voluntary curfew, which began Nov. 24, will remain in place each night from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. through Dec. 31. Even as other areas of the county are asked to adhere to the voluntary curfew, the city of Tucson voted to implement a mandatory curfew earlier this week, which will be in place from Friday, Dec. 4, to Wednesday, Dec. 23.
βThe point of an advisory is to really ensure that people understand the severity of what we are dealing with,β said Dr. Theresa Cullen, the countyβs public-health director. βWe are in a crisis situation.β
The increased enforcement measures come as new coronavirus cases reach unprecedented levels throughout the county and state. In the first four days of December, there have been close to 2,900 new infections in the county, exceeding the total number of cases in March, April and May combined.
Hospitals also continue to deal with a record number of COVID-19 patients, reporting only one available ICU bed in the county on Dec. 3. Officials throughout the state continue to see an accelerated growth curve with no signs of slowing down without serious statewide intervention.
βWe in the hospitals are being stretched to the limit, even as we speak,β said Dr. Clifford Martin, an infectious-disease specialist at Tucson Medical Center, when addressing the board. βI ask you and the community to do whatever you can to help us in the hospital at this point.β
Based on action taken by Gov. Doug Ducey earlier this week, the board decided to enhance enforcement on a number of coronavirus regulations already in place.
Here are the actions that were taken by the board, in 3-2 votes with Republican supervisors Steve Christy and Ally Miller voting no on them:
Business regulations
In July, supervisors adopted a number of temporary measures applicable to restaurants, public pools, gyms, fitness centers, hotels and resorts, such as employee temperature checks, masks and gloves, occupancy limits, social distancing and cleaning requirements.
Under an amended proclamation, the county will now enhance its enforcement of these measures, allowing only one incidence of noncompliance before facing repercussion by the county Health Department. A second violation by a business could result in the possible suspension or revocation of the establishmentβs license or operating permit.
Mask compliance
While the county has had a mask mandate in place since June, there were previously no penalties in place for noncompliance. On Friday, the board asked that all county jurisdictions and law enforcement agencies assist in enforcement action, which includes a $50 civil fine for not wearing a mask in public areas.
In addition, the board made it mandatory for businesses to refuse service to anyone entering their establishments without a mask, unless specific exemptions apply. A business could be fined up to $500 if they do not comply.
Event regulations
Anyone wishing to hold an event with more than 50 people will now be required to pay a $1,000 or more compliance deposit, depending on the size of the proposed event. If mitigation strategies are followed during the event, organizers would be entitled to get their deposit back.
There will be on-site inspections of these events to determine compliance.
Curfew
The voluntary countywide curfew, intended to curb evening social gatherings at bars and other places, will remain in place through Dec. 31.
After two weeks, the board will review whether the voluntary curfew and other measures are working by analyzing the number of infections per 100,000 residents as well as the percent of positivity within the county. If the county is still over 100 cases per 100,000 people and over 10% positive, the board will consider moving to a mandatory curfew.
βWe donβt know what the next two weeks will bring,β County Administrator Chuck Huckelberry said. βWe are at over 350 infections per 100,000. If that continues to increase, we will be back with more measures within the next two weeks.β
Older adults asked to shelter in place
In addition to the curfew, the Health Department is also asking for older adults and people with underlying medical conditions to voluntarily shelter in place, except to seek medical care, purchase food, attend work or other essential activities.
The enhanced public-health advisory also requires businesses to report any confirmed COVID-19 cases within their establishment and further comply with any contact tracing efforts by the Health Department. A website will go live next week for businesses to report these cases to the county.
Photos: April coronavirus patient drill at Tucson Medical Center
Tucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
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UpdatedArizona governor touts COVID vaccine coming soon; spurns calls for curfews, other rules
UpdatedPHOENIX β Arizona is expected to receive βhundreds of thousandsβ of COVID-19 vaccine doses by the end of this month, with priority for health-care workers, teachers, vulnerable populations and long-term-care residents, the stateβs health chief said Wednesday.
The announcement came as Dr. Cara Christ also disclosed that 1 person out of every 7 who got tested for the virus last week in Arizona was infected. She also reported a new one-day record for cases.
But Gov. Doug Ducey, standing by her side, refused to put any new mitigation measures or restrictions in place to get the state to the point where a majority of Arizonans can be inoculated.
He specifically rejected a proposal by the chief medical officers of several Arizona hospitals to put in place a curfew, close restaurants to indoor dining and cancel group athletic activities. Instead, Ducey said he is relying on the idea that Arizona will have sufficient hospital beds to treat those who get ill in the interim.
However, that assumes hospitals can find the qualified medical personnel to staff these beds.
Earlier Wednesday, Marjorie Bessel, chief clinical officer for Banner Health, said the problem now, unlike this summer when virus cases peaked here, is that Arizona is no longer the state with the biggest surge. That makes it difficult to recruit help from elsewhere.
And while Banner is in the process of filling 1,500 positions, she said efforts are still underway to hire 900 more.
Ducey did agree Wednesday to provide an additional $60 million to Arizona hospitals to help them find the staff they need to handle the surge of people needing medical care. That is on top of a $25 million infusion less than a month ago.
βGrimβ forecasts for this month and next
Bessel said the picture in Arizona is βgrim,β predicting that Banner hospitals will hit 125% of bed capacity this month and exceed that, at least briefly, in January.
That trend is not unique to Banner.
Intensive-care-unit bed use is already at 90% of capacity in the state, the most recent data from the Arizona Department of Health Services shows.
Hitting 125% is not necessarily a problem as hospitals are required to have plans in place for such a surge, including converting non-ICU beds and other facilities for intensive-care use.
But the Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation predicts the demand for ICU beds will hit 300% of capacity in Arizona by the middle of January unless there are additional steps taken to curb the spread of the virus.
It was for that reason that Bessel and medical officers from Mayo Clinic and Dignity Health specifically asked Christ this week to impose the additional restrictions.
Bessel specifically praised Tucson Mayor Regina Romero and the City Council for voting Tuesday to impose a 10 p.m. curfew for three weeks.
βA curfew is mitigation that absolutely can work,β Bessel said. βIt can work and it will work if we deploy it.β
Ducey is not willing to take such steps, even as he conceded that the vaccines, which will only start to be available later this month β and only for those in the highest priority classes β wonβt make any immediate dent in an increasing trend in cases.
βWe are in for a tough several weeks here,β the governor said at his news conference Wednesday.
He said he was giving his βmost sincere condolencesβ to the families of the 6,739 people in Arizona who have died so far from COVID-19.
βWe grieve every death in Arizona and want to continue to do everything we can to contain the spread of this virus and protect lives,β Ducey said.
Ducey: Curfews βnot the right approachβ
But that wonβt include the kind of new restrictions being urged by the hospital medical chiefs and others, and not the kind of curfew that takes effect Friday, Dec. 4, in Tucson.
βI donβt think itβs the right approach,β Ducey said. βWe want to do things that will allow businesses to operate safely.β
He said the continuing restrictions imposed in late June, like occupancy limits on in-house restaurant dining, movie theaters and fitness centers, along with enforcement, βwill be the best things we can do to continue to slow the spread.β
He brushed aside questions about the fact that the spread is not slowing, even as Christ acknowledged that 15% of the tests for the virus conducted last week are coming back positive.
βThis week weβre trending higher,β she said.
The number of new cases reported per day hit a record on Nov. 23 in the state. Figures for more recent dates are still being updated.
For Ducey, the focus is on the economy.
βI donβt think the right answer is to throw hundreds of thousands of Arizonans out of work before the holidays to slow this spread because I donβt think it would slow the spread,β he said.
He said there are other complications of restrictions, βlike suicide attempts, like depression, like emotional and social disconnection, like child abuse and like domestic violence.β
Safety measures for large events
The lone new regulation of sorts that Ducey did impose Wednesday is not anything the state would enforce.
His current executive orders prohibit gatherings of more than 50 unless local governments approve. Now, he said, these governments will have to have a written agreement with event organizers that they will require and enforce certain safety measures, like distancing and the use of masks.
Nothing in Duceyβs orders affects activities he said are protected by the First Amendment, like the rallies the governor attended this year during President Trumpβs campaign.
That, then, leaves the vaccines.
More financial help for restaurants
Ducey said first priority will go to health-care and essential public-safety workers, residents of long-term-care facilities and other βvulnerableβ populations.
He is specifically including teachers in that first group.
That dovetails with his often-repeated argument that he wants more in-classroom teaching and less online education. The premise is that once teachers have immunity, they will be more willing to return to work in classrooms.
The date for vaccines for all Arizonans has yet to be determined.
Ducey issued an executive order Wednesday spelling out that all residents will be able to get inoculated βwithout financial barriers.β
Ducey also set aside $1 million in grants to help restaurants and other dining facilities expand their outdoor dining operations.
There is a separate $100,000 going to the Arizona Restaurant Association for the same purpose, and another $100,000 to the Arizona Lodging and Tourism Association to aid hotels and their restaurants in strengthening their sanitation and mitigation practices to protect patrons and staff.
Not everything being done for restaurants is financial.
Ducey is suspending a provision in law that says restaurants can serve alcoholic beverages only to patrons dining in-house or at an outdoor patio directly connected to the business. That has proven to be a barrier for restaurants that have received local permission to operate in parking lots and on cordoned-off areas of the street where there is a sidewalk in between.
Tucson Medical Center and the Tucson Fire Department held a drill on April 10, 2020, to help establish procedures and solve problems when hand…
Pima County keeps voluntary curfew, enhances penalties for violating COVID-19 rules
UpdatedThe Pima County supervisors voted Friday to strengthen penalties related to noncompliance with COVID-19 regulations, including the potential suspension of restaurant licenses and civil penalties for people not wearing a mask in public.
In addition to several new enforcement actions, the Board of Supervisors also endorsed a strengthened public-health advisory by the Pima County Health Department that now requires businesses to report any known coronavirus cases.
The countyβs voluntary curfew, which began Nov. 24, will remain in place each night from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. through Dec. 31. Even as other areas of the county are asked to adhere to the voluntary curfew, the city of Tucson voted to implement a mandatory curfew earlier this week, which will be in place from Friday, Dec. 4, to Wednesday, Dec. 23.
βThe point of an advisory is to really ensure that people understand the severity of what we are dealing with,β said Dr. Theresa Cullen, the countyβs public-health director. βWe are in a crisis situation.β
The increased enforcement measures come as new coronavirus cases reach unprecedented levels throughout the county and state. In the first four days of December, there have been close to 2,900 new infections in the county, exceeding the total number of cases in March, April and May combined.
Hospitals also continue to deal with a record number of COVID-19 patients, reporting only one available ICU bed in the county on Dec. 3. Officials throughout the state continue to see an accelerated growth curve with no signs of slowing down without serious statewide intervention.
βWe in the hospitals are being stretched to the limit, even as we speak,β said Dr. Clifford Martin, an infectious-disease specialist at Tucson Medical Center, when addressing the board. βI ask you and the community to do whatever you can to help us in the hospital at this point.β
Based on action taken by Gov. Doug Ducey earlier this week, the board decided to enhance enforcement on a number of coronavirus regulations already in place.
Here are the actions that were taken by the board, in 3-2 votes with Republican supervisors Steve Christy and Ally Miller voting no on them:
Business regulations
In July, supervisors adopted a number of temporary measures applicable to restaurants, public pools, gyms, fitness centers, hotels and resorts, such as employee temperature checks, masks and gloves, occupancy limits, social distancing and cleaning requirements.
Under an amended proclamation, the county will now enhance its enforcement of these measures, allowing only one incidence of noncompliance before facing repercussion by the county Health Department. A second violation by a business could result in the possible suspension or revocation of the establishmentβs license or operating permit.
Mask compliance
While the county has had a mask mandate in place since June, there were previously no penalties in place for noncompliance. On Friday, the board asked that all county jurisdictions and law enforcement agencies assist in enforcement action, which includes a $50 civil fine for not wearing a mask in public areas.
In addition, the board made it mandatory for businesses to refuse service to anyone entering their establishments without a mask, unless specific exemptions apply. A business could be fined up to $500 if they do not comply.
Event regulations
Anyone wishing to hold an event with more than 50 people will now be required to pay a $1,000 or more compliance deposit, depending on the size of the proposed event. If mitigation strategies are followed during the event, organizers would be entitled to get their deposit back.
There will be on-site inspections of these events to determine compliance.
Curfew
The voluntary countywide curfew, intended to curb evening social gatherings at bars and other places, will remain in place through Dec. 31.
After two weeks, the board will review whether the voluntary curfew and other measures are working by analyzing the number of infections per 100,000 residents as well as the percent of positivity within the county. If the county is still over 100 cases per 100,000 people and over 10% positive, the board will consider moving to a mandatory curfew.
βWe donβt know what the next two weeks will bring,β County Administrator Chuck Huckelberry said. βWe are at over 350 infections per 100,000. If that continues to increase, we will be back with more measures within the next two weeks.β
Older adults asked to shelter in place
In addition to the curfew, the Health Department is also asking for older adults and people with underlying medical conditions to voluntarily shelter in place, except to seek medical care, purchase food, attend work or other essential activities.
The enhanced public-health advisory also requires businesses to report any confirmed COVID-19 cases within their establishment and further comply with any contact tracing efforts by the Health Department. A website will go live next week for businesses to report these cases to the county.
Photos: April coronavirus patient drill at Tucson Medical Center
Tucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
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UpdatedArizona governor touts COVID vaccine coming soon; spurns calls for curfews, other rules
UpdatedPHOENIX β Arizona is expected to receive βhundreds of thousandsβ of COVID-19 vaccine doses by the end of this month, with priority for health-care workers, teachers, vulnerable populations and long-term-care residents, the stateβs health chief said Wednesday.
The announcement came as Dr. Cara Christ also disclosed that 1 person out of every 7 who got tested for the virus last week in Arizona was infected. She also reported a new one-day record for cases.
But Gov. Doug Ducey, standing by her side, refused to put any new mitigation measures or restrictions in place to get the state to the point where a majority of Arizonans can be inoculated.
He specifically rejected a proposal by the chief medical officers of several Arizona hospitals to put in place a curfew, close restaurants to indoor dining and cancel group athletic activities. Instead, Ducey said he is relying on the idea that Arizona will have sufficient hospital beds to treat those who get ill in the interim.
However, that assumes hospitals can find the qualified medical personnel to staff these beds.
Earlier Wednesday, Marjorie Bessel, chief clinical officer for Banner Health, said the problem now, unlike this summer when virus cases peaked here, is that Arizona is no longer the state with the biggest surge. That makes it difficult to recruit help from elsewhere.
And while Banner is in the process of filling 1,500 positions, she said efforts are still underway to hire 900 more.
Ducey did agree Wednesday to provide an additional $60 million to Arizona hospitals to help them find the staff they need to handle the surge of people needing medical care. That is on top of a $25 million infusion less than a month ago.
βGrimβ forecasts for this month and next
Bessel said the picture in Arizona is βgrim,β predicting that Banner hospitals will hit 125% of bed capacity this month and exceed that, at least briefly, in January.
That trend is not unique to Banner.
Intensive-care-unit bed use is already at 90% of capacity in the state, the most recent data from the Arizona Department of Health Services shows.
Hitting 125% is not necessarily a problem as hospitals are required to have plans in place for such a surge, including converting non-ICU beds and other facilities for intensive-care use.
But the Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation predicts the demand for ICU beds will hit 300% of capacity in Arizona by the middle of January unless there are additional steps taken to curb the spread of the virus.
It was for that reason that Bessel and medical officers from Mayo Clinic and Dignity Health specifically asked Christ this week to impose the additional restrictions.
Bessel specifically praised Tucson Mayor Regina Romero and the City Council for voting Tuesday to impose a 10 p.m. curfew for three weeks.
βA curfew is mitigation that absolutely can work,β Bessel said. βIt can work and it will work if we deploy it.β
Ducey is not willing to take such steps, even as he conceded that the vaccines, which will only start to be available later this month β and only for those in the highest priority classes β wonβt make any immediate dent in an increasing trend in cases.
βWe are in for a tough several weeks here,β the governor said at his news conference Wednesday.
He said he was giving his βmost sincere condolencesβ to the families of the 6,739 people in Arizona who have died so far from COVID-19.
βWe grieve every death in Arizona and want to continue to do everything we can to contain the spread of this virus and protect lives,β Ducey said.
Ducey: Curfews βnot the right approachβ
But that wonβt include the kind of new restrictions being urged by the hospital medical chiefs and others, and not the kind of curfew that takes effect Friday, Dec. 4, in Tucson.
βI donβt think itβs the right approach,β Ducey said. βWe want to do things that will allow businesses to operate safely.β
He said the continuing restrictions imposed in late June, like occupancy limits on in-house restaurant dining, movie theaters and fitness centers, along with enforcement, βwill be the best things we can do to continue to slow the spread.β
He brushed aside questions about the fact that the spread is not slowing, even as Christ acknowledged that 15% of the tests for the virus conducted last week are coming back positive.
βThis week weβre trending higher,β she said.
The number of new cases reported per day hit a record on Nov. 23 in the state. Figures for more recent dates are still being updated.
For Ducey, the focus is on the economy.
βI donβt think the right answer is to throw hundreds of thousands of Arizonans out of work before the holidays to slow this spread because I donβt think it would slow the spread,β he said.
He said there are other complications of restrictions, βlike suicide attempts, like depression, like emotional and social disconnection, like child abuse and like domestic violence.β
Safety measures for large events
The lone new regulation of sorts that Ducey did impose Wednesday is not anything the state would enforce.
His current executive orders prohibit gatherings of more than 50 unless local governments approve. Now, he said, these governments will have to have a written agreement with event organizers that they will require and enforce certain safety measures, like distancing and the use of masks.
Nothing in Duceyβs orders affects activities he said are protected by the First Amendment, like the rallies the governor attended this year during President Trumpβs campaign.
That, then, leaves the vaccines.
More financial help for restaurants
Ducey said first priority will go to health-care and essential public-safety workers, residents of long-term-care facilities and other βvulnerableβ populations.
He is specifically including teachers in that first group.
That dovetails with his often-repeated argument that he wants more in-classroom teaching and less online education. The premise is that once teachers have immunity, they will be more willing to return to work in classrooms.
The date for vaccines for all Arizonans has yet to be determined.
Ducey issued an executive order Wednesday spelling out that all residents will be able to get inoculated βwithout financial barriers.β
Ducey also set aside $1 million in grants to help restaurants and other dining facilities expand their outdoor dining operations.
There is a separate $100,000 going to the Arizona Restaurant Association for the same purpose, and another $100,000 to the Arizona Lodging and Tourism Association to aid hotels and their restaurants in strengthening their sanitation and mitigation practices to protect patrons and staff.
Not everything being done for restaurants is financial.
Ducey is suspending a provision in law that says restaurants can serve alcoholic beverages only to patrons dining in-house or at an outdoor patio directly connected to the business. That has proven to be a barrier for restaurants that have received local permission to operate in parking lots and on cordoned-off areas of the street where there is a sidewalk in between.
Tucson Medical Center and the Tucson Fire Department held a drill on April 10, 2020, to help establish procedures and solve problems when hand…
Pima County keeps voluntary curfew, enhances penalties for violating COVID-19 rules
UpdatedThe Pima County supervisors voted Friday to strengthen penalties related to noncompliance with COVID-19 regulations, including the potential suspension of restaurant licenses and civil penalties for people not wearing a mask in public.
In addition to several new enforcement actions, the Board of Supervisors also endorsed a strengthened public-health advisory by the Pima County Health Department that now requires businesses to report any known coronavirus cases.
The countyβs voluntary curfew, which began Nov. 24, will remain in place each night from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. through Dec. 31. Even as other areas of the county are asked to adhere to the voluntary curfew, the city of Tucson voted to implement a mandatory curfew earlier this week, which will be in place from Friday, Dec. 4, to Wednesday, Dec. 23.
βThe point of an advisory is to really ensure that people understand the severity of what we are dealing with,β said Dr. Theresa Cullen, the countyβs public-health director. βWe are in a crisis situation.β
The increased enforcement measures come as new coronavirus cases reach unprecedented levels throughout the county and state. In the first four days of December, there have been close to 2,900 new infections in the county, exceeding the total number of cases in March, April and May combined.
Hospitals also continue to deal with a record number of COVID-19 patients, reporting only one available ICU bed in the county on Dec. 3. Officials throughout the state continue to see an accelerated growth curve with no signs of slowing down without serious statewide intervention.
βWe in the hospitals are being stretched to the limit, even as we speak,β said Dr. Clifford Martin, an infectious-disease specialist at Tucson Medical Center, when addressing the board. βI ask you and the community to do whatever you can to help us in the hospital at this point.β
Based on action taken by Gov. Doug Ducey earlier this week, the board decided to enhance enforcement on a number of coronavirus regulations already in place.
Here are the actions that were taken by the board, in 3-2 votes with Republican supervisors Steve Christy and Ally Miller voting no on them:
Business regulations
In July, supervisors adopted a number of temporary measures applicable to restaurants, public pools, gyms, fitness centers, hotels and resorts, such as employee temperature checks, masks and gloves, occupancy limits, social distancing and cleaning requirements.
Under an amended proclamation, the county will now enhance its enforcement of these measures, allowing only one incidence of noncompliance before facing repercussion by the county Health Department. A second violation by a business could result in the possible suspension or revocation of the establishmentβs license or operating permit.
Mask compliance
While the county has had a mask mandate in place since June, there were previously no penalties in place for noncompliance. On Friday, the board asked that all county jurisdictions and law enforcement agencies assist in enforcement action, which includes a $50 civil fine for not wearing a mask in public areas.
In addition, the board made it mandatory for businesses to refuse service to anyone entering their establishments without a mask, unless specific exemptions apply. A business could be fined up to $500 if they do not comply.
Event regulations
Anyone wishing to hold an event with more than 50 people will now be required to pay a $1,000 or more compliance deposit, depending on the size of the proposed event. If mitigation strategies are followed during the event, organizers would be entitled to get their deposit back.
There will be on-site inspections of these events to determine compliance.
Curfew
The voluntary countywide curfew, intended to curb evening social gatherings at bars and other places, will remain in place through Dec. 31.
After two weeks, the board will review whether the voluntary curfew and other measures are working by analyzing the number of infections per 100,000 residents as well as the percent of positivity within the county. If the county is still over 100 cases per 100,000 people and over 10% positive, the board will consider moving to a mandatory curfew.
βWe donβt know what the next two weeks will bring,β County Administrator Chuck Huckelberry said. βWe are at over 350 infections per 100,000. If that continues to increase, we will be back with more measures within the next two weeks.β
Older adults asked to shelter in place
In addition to the curfew, the Health Department is also asking for older adults and people with underlying medical conditions to voluntarily shelter in place, except to seek medical care, purchase food, attend work or other essential activities.
The enhanced public-health advisory also requires businesses to report any confirmed COVID-19 cases within their establishment and further comply with any contact tracing efforts by the Health Department. A website will go live next week for businesses to report these cases to the county.
Photos: April coronavirus patient drill at Tucson Medical Center
Tucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedArizona governor touts COVID vaccine coming soon; spurns calls for curfews, other rules
UpdatedPHOENIX β Arizona is expected to receive βhundreds of thousandsβ of COVID-19 vaccine doses by the end of this month, with priority for health-care workers, teachers, vulnerable populations and long-term-care residents, the stateβs health chief said Wednesday.
The announcement came as Dr. Cara Christ also disclosed that 1 person out of every 7 who got tested for the virus last week in Arizona was infected. She also reported a new one-day record for cases.
But Gov. Doug Ducey, standing by her side, refused to put any new mitigation measures or restrictions in place to get the state to the point where a majority of Arizonans can be inoculated.
He specifically rejected a proposal by the chief medical officers of several Arizona hospitals to put in place a curfew, close restaurants to indoor dining and cancel group athletic activities. Instead, Ducey said he is relying on the idea that Arizona will have sufficient hospital beds to treat those who get ill in the interim.
However, that assumes hospitals can find the qualified medical personnel to staff these beds.
Earlier Wednesday, Marjorie Bessel, chief clinical officer for Banner Health, said the problem now, unlike this summer when virus cases peaked here, is that Arizona is no longer the state with the biggest surge. That makes it difficult to recruit help from elsewhere.
And while Banner is in the process of filling 1,500 positions, she said efforts are still underway to hire 900 more.
Ducey did agree Wednesday to provide an additional $60 million to Arizona hospitals to help them find the staff they need to handle the surge of people needing medical care. That is on top of a $25 million infusion less than a month ago.
βGrimβ forecasts for this month and next
Bessel said the picture in Arizona is βgrim,β predicting that Banner hospitals will hit 125% of bed capacity this month and exceed that, at least briefly, in January.
That trend is not unique to Banner.
Intensive-care-unit bed use is already at 90% of capacity in the state, the most recent data from the Arizona Department of Health Services shows.
Hitting 125% is not necessarily a problem as hospitals are required to have plans in place for such a surge, including converting non-ICU beds and other facilities for intensive-care use.
But the Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation predicts the demand for ICU beds will hit 300% of capacity in Arizona by the middle of January unless there are additional steps taken to curb the spread of the virus.
It was for that reason that Bessel and medical officers from Mayo Clinic and Dignity Health specifically asked Christ this week to impose the additional restrictions.
Bessel specifically praised Tucson Mayor Regina Romero and the City Council for voting Tuesday to impose a 10 p.m. curfew for three weeks.
βA curfew is mitigation that absolutely can work,β Bessel said. βIt can work and it will work if we deploy it.β
Ducey is not willing to take such steps, even as he conceded that the vaccines, which will only start to be available later this month β and only for those in the highest priority classes β wonβt make any immediate dent in an increasing trend in cases.
βWe are in for a tough several weeks here,β the governor said at his news conference Wednesday.
He said he was giving his βmost sincere condolencesβ to the families of the 6,739 people in Arizona who have died so far from COVID-19.
βWe grieve every death in Arizona and want to continue to do everything we can to contain the spread of this virus and protect lives,β Ducey said.
Ducey: Curfews βnot the right approachβ
But that wonβt include the kind of new restrictions being urged by the hospital medical chiefs and others, and not the kind of curfew that takes effect Friday, Dec. 4, in Tucson.
βI donβt think itβs the right approach,β Ducey said. βWe want to do things that will allow businesses to operate safely.β
He said the continuing restrictions imposed in late June, like occupancy limits on in-house restaurant dining, movie theaters and fitness centers, along with enforcement, βwill be the best things we can do to continue to slow the spread.β
He brushed aside questions about the fact that the spread is not slowing, even as Christ acknowledged that 15% of the tests for the virus conducted last week are coming back positive.
βThis week weβre trending higher,β she said.
The number of new cases reported per day hit a record on Nov. 23 in the state. Figures for more recent dates are still being updated.
For Ducey, the focus is on the economy.
βI donβt think the right answer is to throw hundreds of thousands of Arizonans out of work before the holidays to slow this spread because I donβt think it would slow the spread,β he said.
He said there are other complications of restrictions, βlike suicide attempts, like depression, like emotional and social disconnection, like child abuse and like domestic violence.β
Safety measures for large events
The lone new regulation of sorts that Ducey did impose Wednesday is not anything the state would enforce.
His current executive orders prohibit gatherings of more than 50 unless local governments approve. Now, he said, these governments will have to have a written agreement with event organizers that they will require and enforce certain safety measures, like distancing and the use of masks.
Nothing in Duceyβs orders affects activities he said are protected by the First Amendment, like the rallies the governor attended this year during President Trumpβs campaign.
That, then, leaves the vaccines.
More financial help for restaurants
Ducey said first priority will go to health-care and essential public-safety workers, residents of long-term-care facilities and other βvulnerableβ populations.
He is specifically including teachers in that first group.
That dovetails with his often-repeated argument that he wants more in-classroom teaching and less online education. The premise is that once teachers have immunity, they will be more willing to return to work in classrooms.
The date for vaccines for all Arizonans has yet to be determined.
Ducey issued an executive order Wednesday spelling out that all residents will be able to get inoculated βwithout financial barriers.β
Ducey also set aside $1 million in grants to help restaurants and other dining facilities expand their outdoor dining operations.
There is a separate $100,000 going to the Arizona Restaurant Association for the same purpose, and another $100,000 to the Arizona Lodging and Tourism Association to aid hotels and their restaurants in strengthening their sanitation and mitigation practices to protect patrons and staff.
Not everything being done for restaurants is financial.
Ducey is suspending a provision in law that says restaurants can serve alcoholic beverages only to patrons dining in-house or at an outdoor patio directly connected to the business. That has proven to be a barrier for restaurants that have received local permission to operate in parking lots and on cordoned-off areas of the street where there is a sidewalk in between.
Tucson Medical Center and the Tucson Fire Department held a drill on April 10, 2020, to help establish procedures and solve problems when hand…
Pima County keeps voluntary curfew, enhances penalties for violating COVID-19 rules
UpdatedThe Pima County supervisors voted Friday to strengthen penalties related to noncompliance with COVID-19 regulations, including the potential suspension of restaurant licenses and civil penalties for people not wearing a mask in public.
In addition to several new enforcement actions, the Board of Supervisors also endorsed a strengthened public-health advisory by the Pima County Health Department that now requires businesses to report any known coronavirus cases.
The countyβs voluntary curfew, which began Nov. 24, will remain in place each night from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. through Dec. 31. Even as other areas of the county are asked to adhere to the voluntary curfew, the city of Tucson voted to implement a mandatory curfew earlier this week, which will be in place from Friday, Dec. 4, to Wednesday, Dec. 23.
βThe point of an advisory is to really ensure that people understand the severity of what we are dealing with,β said Dr. Theresa Cullen, the countyβs public-health director. βWe are in a crisis situation.β
The increased enforcement measures come as new coronavirus cases reach unprecedented levels throughout the county and state. In the first four days of December, there have been close to 2,900 new infections in the county, exceeding the total number of cases in March, April and May combined.
Hospitals also continue to deal with a record number of COVID-19 patients, reporting only one available ICU bed in the county on Dec. 3. Officials throughout the state continue to see an accelerated growth curve with no signs of slowing down without serious statewide intervention.
βWe in the hospitals are being stretched to the limit, even as we speak,β said Dr. Clifford Martin, an infectious-disease specialist at Tucson Medical Center, when addressing the board. βI ask you and the community to do whatever you can to help us in the hospital at this point.β
Based on action taken by Gov. Doug Ducey earlier this week, the board decided to enhance enforcement on a number of coronavirus regulations already in place.
Here are the actions that were taken by the board, in 3-2 votes with Republican supervisors Steve Christy and Ally Miller voting no on them:
Business regulations
In July, supervisors adopted a number of temporary measures applicable to restaurants, public pools, gyms, fitness centers, hotels and resorts, such as employee temperature checks, masks and gloves, occupancy limits, social distancing and cleaning requirements.
Under an amended proclamation, the county will now enhance its enforcement of these measures, allowing only one incidence of noncompliance before facing repercussion by the county Health Department. A second violation by a business could result in the possible suspension or revocation of the establishmentβs license or operating permit.
Mask compliance
While the county has had a mask mandate in place since June, there were previously no penalties in place for noncompliance. On Friday, the board asked that all county jurisdictions and law enforcement agencies assist in enforcement action, which includes a $50 civil fine for not wearing a mask in public areas.
In addition, the board made it mandatory for businesses to refuse service to anyone entering their establishments without a mask, unless specific exemptions apply. A business could be fined up to $500 if they do not comply.
Event regulations
Anyone wishing to hold an event with more than 50 people will now be required to pay a $1,000 or more compliance deposit, depending on the size of the proposed event. If mitigation strategies are followed during the event, organizers would be entitled to get their deposit back.
There will be on-site inspections of these events to determine compliance.
Curfew
The voluntary countywide curfew, intended to curb evening social gatherings at bars and other places, will remain in place through Dec. 31.
After two weeks, the board will review whether the voluntary curfew and other measures are working by analyzing the number of infections per 100,000 residents as well as the percent of positivity within the county. If the county is still over 100 cases per 100,000 people and over 10% positive, the board will consider moving to a mandatory curfew.
βWe donβt know what the next two weeks will bring,β County Administrator Chuck Huckelberry said. βWe are at over 350 infections per 100,000. If that continues to increase, we will be back with more measures within the next two weeks.β
Older adults asked to shelter in place
In addition to the curfew, the Health Department is also asking for older adults and people with underlying medical conditions to voluntarily shelter in place, except to seek medical care, purchase food, attend work or other essential activities.
The enhanced public-health advisory also requires businesses to report any confirmed COVID-19 cases within their establishment and further comply with any contact tracing efforts by the Health Department. A website will go live next week for businesses to report these cases to the county.
Photos: April coronavirus patient drill at Tucson Medical Center
Tucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedTucson Medical Center, coronavirus drill
UpdatedArizona governor touts COVID vaccine coming soon; spurns calls for curfews, other rules
UpdatedPHOENIX β Arizona is expected to receive βhundreds of thousandsβ of COVID-19 vaccine doses by the end of this month, with priority for health-care workers, teachers, vulnerable populations and long-term-care residents, the stateβs health chief said Wednesday.
The announcement came as Dr. Cara Christ also disclosed that 1 person out of every 7 who got tested for the virus last week in Arizona was infected. She also reported a new one-day record for cases.
But Gov. Doug Ducey, standing by her side, refused to put any new mitigation measures or restrictions in place to get the state to the point where a majority of Arizonans can be inoculated.
He specifically rejected a proposal by the chief medical officers of several Arizona hospitals to put in place a curfew, close restaurants to indoor dining and cancel group athletic activities. Instead, Ducey said he is relying on the idea that Arizona will have sufficient hospital beds to treat those who get ill in the interim.
However, that assumes hospitals can find the qualified medical personnel to staff these beds.
Earlier Wednesday, Marjorie Bessel, chief clinical officer for Banner Health, said the problem now, unlike this summer when virus cases peaked here, is that Arizona is no longer the state with the biggest surge. That makes it difficult to recruit help from elsewhere.
And while Banner is in the process of filling 1,500 positions, she said efforts are still underway to hire 900 more.
Ducey did agree Wednesday to provide an additional $60 million to Arizona hospitals to help them find the staff they need to handle the surge of people needing medical care. That is on top of a $25 million infusion less than a month ago.
βGrimβ forecasts for this month and next
Bessel said the picture in Arizona is βgrim,β predicting that Banner hospitals will hit 125% of bed capacity this month and exceed that, at least briefly, in January.
That trend is not unique to Banner.
Intensive-care-unit bed use is already at 90% of capacity in the state, the most recent data from the Arizona Department of Health Services shows.
Hitting 125% is not necessarily a problem as hospitals are required to have plans in place for such a surge, including converting non-ICU beds and other facilities for intensive-care use.
But the Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation predicts the demand for ICU beds will hit 300% of capacity in Arizona by the middle of January unless there are additional steps taken to curb the spread of the virus.
It was for that reason that Bessel and medical officers from Mayo Clinic and Dignity Health specifically asked Christ this week to impose the additional restrictions.
Bessel specifically praised Tucson Mayor Regina Romero and the City Council for voting Tuesday to impose a 10 p.m. curfew for three weeks.
βA curfew is mitigation that absolutely can work,β Bessel said. βIt can work and it will work if we deploy it.β
Ducey is not willing to take such steps, even as he conceded that the vaccines, which will only start to be available later this month β and only for those in the highest priority classes β wonβt make any immediate dent in an increasing trend in cases.
βWe are in for a tough several weeks here,β the governor said at his news conference Wednesday.
He said he was giving his βmost sincere condolencesβ to the families of the 6,739 people in Arizona who have died so far from COVID-19.
βWe grieve every death in Arizona and want to continue to do everything we can to contain the spread of this virus and protect lives,β Ducey said.
Ducey: Curfews βnot the right approachβ
But that wonβt include the kind of new restrictions being urged by the hospital medical chiefs and others, and not the kind of curfew that takes effect Friday, Dec. 4, in Tucson.
βI donβt think itβs the right approach,β Ducey said. βWe want to do things that will allow businesses to operate safely.β
He said the continuing restrictions imposed in late June, like occupancy limits on in-house restaurant dining, movie theaters and fitness centers, along with enforcement, βwill be the best things we can do to continue to slow the spread.β
He brushed aside questions about the fact that the spread is not slowing, even as Christ acknowledged that 15% of the tests for the virus conducted last week are coming back positive.
βThis week weβre trending higher,β she said.
The number of new cases reported per day hit a record on Nov. 23 in the state. Figures for more recent dates are still being updated.
For Ducey, the focus is on the economy.
βI donβt think the right answer is to throw hundreds of thousands of Arizonans out of work before the holidays to slow this spread because I donβt think it would slow the spread,β he said.
He said there are other complications of restrictions, βlike suicide attempts, like depression, like emotional and social disconnection, like child abuse and like domestic violence.β
Safety measures for large events
The lone new regulation of sorts that Ducey did impose Wednesday is not anything the state would enforce.
His current executive orders prohibit gatherings of more than 50 unless local governments approve. Now, he said, these governments will have to have a written agreement with event organizers that they will require and enforce certain safety measures, like distancing and the use of masks.
Nothing in Duceyβs orders affects activities he said are protected by the First Amendment, like the rallies the governor attended this year during President Trumpβs campaign.
That, then, leaves the vaccines.
More financial help for restaurants
Ducey said first priority will go to health-care and essential public-safety workers, residents of long-term-care facilities and other βvulnerableβ populations.
He is specifically including teachers in that first group.
That dovetails with his often-repeated argument that he wants more in-classroom teaching and less online education. The premise is that once teachers have immunity, they will be more willing to return to work in classrooms.
The date for vaccines for all Arizonans has yet to be determined.
Ducey issued an executive order Wednesday spelling out that all residents will be able to get inoculated βwithout financial barriers.β
Ducey also set aside $1 million in grants to help restaurants and other dining facilities expand their outdoor dining operations.
There is a separate $100,000 going to the Arizona Restaurant Association for the same purpose, and another $100,000 to the Arizona Lodging and Tourism Association to aid hotels and their restaurants in strengthening their sanitation and mitigation practices to protect patrons and staff.
Not everything being done for restaurants is financial.
Ducey is suspending a provision in law that says restaurants can serve alcoholic beverages only to patrons dining in-house or at an outdoor patio directly connected to the business. That has proven to be a barrier for restaurants that have received local permission to operate in parking lots and on cordoned-off areas of the street where there is a sidewalk in between.
Pima County keeps voluntary curfew, enhances penalties for violating COVID-19 rules
UpdatedThe Pima County supervisors voted Friday to strengthen penalties related to noncompliance with COVID-19 regulations, including the potential suspension of restaurant licenses and civil penalties for people not wearing a mask in public.
In addition to several new enforcement actions, the Board of Supervisors also endorsed a strengthened public-health advisory by the Pima County Health Department that now requires businesses to report any known coronavirus cases.
The countyβs voluntary curfew, which began Nov. 24, will remain in place each night from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. through Dec. 31. Even as other areas of the county are asked to adhere to the voluntary curfew, the city of Tucson voted to implement a mandatory curfew earlier this week, which will be in place from Friday, Dec. 4, to Wednesday, Dec. 23.
βThe point of an advisory is to really ensure that people understand the severity of what we are dealing with,β said Dr. Theresa Cullen, the countyβs public-health director. βWe are in a crisis situation.β
The increased enforcement measures come as new coronavirus cases reach unprecedented levels throughout the county and state. In the first four days of December, there have been close to 2,900 new infections in the county, exceeding the total number of cases in March, April and May combined.
Hospitals also continue to deal with a record number of COVID-19 patients, reporting only one available ICU bed in the county on Dec. 3. Officials throughout the state continue to see an accelerated growth curve with no signs of slowing down without serious statewide intervention.
βWe in the hospitals are being stretched to the limit, even as we speak,β said Dr. Clifford Martin, an infectious-disease specialist at Tucson Medical Center, when addressing the board. βI ask you and the community to do whatever you can to help us in the hospital at this point.β
Based on action taken by Gov. Doug Ducey earlier this week, the board decided to enhance enforcement on a number of coronavirus regulations already in place.
Here are the actions that were taken by the board, in 3-2 votes with Republican supervisors Steve Christy and Ally Miller voting no on them:
Business regulations
In July, supervisors adopted a number of temporary measures applicable to restaurants, public pools, gyms, fitness centers, hotels and resorts, such as employee temperature checks, masks and gloves, occupancy limits, social distancing and cleaning requirements.
Under an amended proclamation, the county will now enhance its enforcement of these measures, allowing only one incidence of noncompliance before facing repercussion by the county Health Department. A second violation by a business could result in the possible suspension or revocation of the establishmentβs license or operating permit.
Mask compliance
While the county has had a mask mandate in place since June, there were previously no penalties in place for noncompliance. On Friday, the board asked that all county jurisdictions and law enforcement agencies assist in enforcement action, which includes a $50 civil fine for not wearing a mask in public areas.
In addition, the board made it mandatory for businesses to refuse service to anyone entering their establishments without a mask, unless specific exemptions apply. A business could be fined up to $500 if they do not comply.
Event regulations
Anyone wishing to hold an event with more than 50 people will now be required to pay a $1,000 or more compliance deposit, depending on the size of the proposed event. If mitigation strategies are followed during the event, organizers would be entitled to get their deposit back.
There will be on-site inspections of these events to determine compliance.
Curfew
The voluntary countywide curfew, intended to curb evening social gatherings at bars and other places, will remain in place through Dec. 31.
After two weeks, the board will review whether the voluntary curfew and other measures are working by analyzing the number of infections per 100,000 residents as well as the percent of positivity within the county. If the county is still over 100 cases per 100,000 people and over 10% positive, the board will consider moving to a mandatory curfew.
βWe donβt know what the next two weeks will bring,β County Administrator Chuck Huckelberry said. βWe are at over 350 infections per 100,000. If that continues to increase, we will be back with more measures within the next two weeks.β
Older adults asked to shelter in place
In addition to the curfew, the Health Department is also asking for older adults and people with underlying medical conditions to voluntarily shelter in place, except to seek medical care, purchase food, attend work or other essential activities.
The enhanced public-health advisory also requires businesses to report any confirmed COVID-19 cases within their establishment and further comply with any contact tracing efforts by the Health Department. A website will go live next week for businesses to report these cases to the county.