Scouting report: Arizona Wildcats vs. Cal Golden Bears
- Bruce Pascoe Arizona Daily Star
- Updated
The Star's Bruce Pascoe previews all of the game day essentials, from projected starting lineups to storylines and series history, before the Arizona Wildcats wrap up the Bay Area road trip in Berkeley, California.
Game info
UpdatedWho:Β Arizona Wildcats (12-4, 3-0) at Cal Golden Bears (5-10, 0-3)
Where:Β Haas Pavilion, Berkeley, California
When:Β 8:30 p.m. Saturday
Watch:Β Pac-12 Networks
Listen:Β 1290-AM, 107.5-FM
Follow:Β @TheWildcasterΒ on Twitter /Β TheWildcasterΒ on Facebook
Probable starters: Arizona
UpdatedG Justin Coleman (5-10 senior)
G Brandon Williams (6-2 freshman)
F Brandon Randolph (6-6 sophomore)
F Emmanuel Akot (6-7 sophomore)
C Chase Jeter (6-10 junior)
Probable starters: California
UpdatedG Darius McNeill (6-3 sophomore)
G Matt Bradley (6-4 freshman)
F Justice Sueing (6-7 sophomore)
F Andre Kelly(6-8 freshman)
C Connor Vanover (7-3 freshman)
How they match up
UpdatedSeries history
Arizona has won nine of its last 10 games with California, and the last two in Berkeley. Last season, UA won 79-58 at Haas Pavilion despite giving up 21 turnovers and 66-54 at McKale Center behind Deandre Aytonβs β20-20β homecourt finale. The UAβs star freshman scored 26 points and had 20 rebounds.
This season
Arizona will also face the Bears on Feb. 21 at McKale Center.
California overview
The Golden Bears are coming off the second-worst season in school history, and this one may not be much better. So far, Cal has lost three Pac-12 games and KenPom.com predicts the Bears will win only one this season — at home against Washington State.
Cal has more depth and talent but has been playing without its best player, point guard Paris Austin, for the past two games because of an ankle sprain. Austin has been practicing recently, however, and appears likely to play Saturday.
Austinβs recent absence forced combo guard Darius McNeill back into a point guard role he was forced to assume much of last season. McNeillβs strength is shooting; heβs the Bearsβ third-leading scorer and most prolific 3-point shooter, making 2.3 per game on average at a 37.2-percent rate. Wing forward Justice Sueing can score at all levels and get to the line, while Matt Bradley has the fourth-highest 3-point percentage nationally at 55.3 (21 for 38). He is a physical guard who can bully his way to the basket or free-throw line.
A lightly rated recruit, Andre Kelly has played beyond expectations as a freshman, shooting 60.8 percent from two-point range while leading the Bears in blocked shots and posting good rebounding percentages on both the offensive (8.1) and defensive (19.2) ends. Inside, Cal has been starting 7-foot-3-inch Connor Vanover, who averages only 12.1 minutes a game but has blocked 10 shots.
Defensively, the Bears use a man-to-man and 2-3 zone, and will press at times, but theyβre not very good at stopping anybody. Cal has the 25th-worst defensive efficiency in the country, isnβt strong on the defensive boards and allows opponents to shoot 38.1 percent from 3-point range and 56.2 from inside the arc.
He said it
UpdatedβThey are a much improved offensive team from a year ago. I donβt think they get enough credit for who theyβve become offensively. Their big guys on this yearβs team are really skilled, so they can beat you from the 3-point line, they have some guys who can really put the ball on the floor and go off the dribble.β β UA coach Sean Miller
Key player: Justice Sueing
UpdatedCalifornia
Arizona may not have to face Stanfordβs KZ Okpala again for a while, but Miller says Sueing brings the same sort of skillset in his ability to shoot, drive to the basket and get to the free-throw line. Okpala scored 29 points while taking 12 free throws against UA on Wednesday. Sueing averages 13.5 points while getting to the line 4.3 times a game, hitting free throws at an 87.2-percent rate.
Key player: Ira Lee
UpdatedArizona
After Leeβs clutch performance Wednesday at Stanford, Miller spoke so convincingly about the need to play him more, especially alongside Chase Jeter, that it wouldnβt be a surprise if he tried starting him. Leeβs consistent rebounding and effort could help offset any blahs the Wildcats might have in facing the leagueβs worst team Saturday.
Coleman to play despite hit
UpdatedIf any Arizona fans took a deep breath when Justin Coleman hit the floor after Stanfordβs Josh Sharma whacked his sore shoulder late Wednesday at Stanford, they werenβt alone.
So did Coleman, apparently.
But Coleman will play Saturday at Cal after fearing his left shoulder may have been dislocated again. He missed Thursdayβs practice for precautionary reasons, Miller said, but returned fully Friday.
βHis shoulder did not pop out,β Miller said after Fridayβs practice. βItβs just a very sensitive area and when it gets dislocated, I think it takes 4-6 weeks for that area to calm down if he gets struck really hard, which he did.
βSo I think it scared him more than anything. But the good news is because it didnβt dislocate again, every day that goes by he gets a little bit better and stronger. He should be fine forβ the Cal game.
Sharmaβs arm came down hard on Coleman near midcourt, wrapping around his shoulder, but Miller said Coleman was not whacked below the waist at the same time, as TV broadcasters initially believed.
βIt was an awkward play because you had a 7-footer running full speed the wrong direction,β Miller said. βIt could have been worse.β
A little perspective
UpdatedArizona is 3-0 in Pac-12 play, having beaten up Colorado and pulled out close wins over Utah and Stanford so far. The Wildcats even merited a projected No. 11 seed in ESPNβs latest bracketology post.
But it was also only four games ago that the Wildcats escaped 4-11 UC Davis at home by a bucket and only six games ago that Baylor outrebounded them by 32.
So even if Cal is just 5-10 and on a four-game losing streak, this isnβt a game Miller says the Wildcats can take for granted.
βI hope our guys donβt feel that way because weβre not that much better than anybody and weβre probably not that much worse than anybody,β Miller said. βEvery game thereβs just a really fine line between winning and losing, and for us, weβre still very early in conference play and some teams can really improve, especially if youβre healthy and weβre trying to be one of those teams.β
So close, and yet so far
UpdatedWhen Lauri Markkanen spent the 2016-17 season at Arizona, the Wildcats took only old-fashioned βPac-10-styleβ road trips with one day between games.
Would have been nice for him if they still did the same this week.
Markkanen flew into the Bay Area with the Chicago Bulls on Thursday and had that night free β only to learn that UA already had played Stanford on Wednesday.
βWhy are they playing Wednesday-Saturday?β Markkanen said after the Bulls held a shootaround at the University of San Francisco before facing the Warriors on Friday. βI could have gone to the game if they played Thursday. Is there any reason they play Wednesday-Saturday?β
Of course, TV is the reason. Arizonaβs Bay Area trip this week and its Feb. 14-17 swing to Utah and Colorado both are scheduled for two days between games.
Numbers game
Updated5
Times in eight tries that Arizona has swept the Bay Area trip under Miller.
11
Of 19 3-pointers that Ryan Luther (6 for 9) and Dylan Smith (5 of 10) have combined to make over the past four games.
19
Points that Calβs Matt Bradley scored on 7-12 shooting on Wednesday against ASU, a career-high.
Tags
More information
- Ira Lee trending upward, rounding into form for Arizona Wildcats
- Justin Coleman will play for Arizona Wildcats at Cal after hit to sore shoulder
- The Wildcast, Episode 165: Could Ira Lee soon find himself in Arizona's starting lineup?
- Lauri Markkanen, Arizona Wildcats cross paths in Bay area
- Past projects show border wall building is complex, costly
- While Bulls get clobbered, former Wildcat Rawle Alkins scores 24 for G League affiliate
- College basketball scoreboard: Arizona Wildcats vs. Cal Golden Bears
- Chase Jeter has career-high 23 points to lead Arizona Wildcats to 87-65 win at Cal
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