CORVALLIS, Ore. β After a loss Sunday that cemented his teamβs drop from the AP Top 25 for the first time this season, Sean Miller stepped inside a dreary Gill Coliseum corridor that matched his mood, with old water pipes and all manner of electrical wires hanging over overhead.
Then he noted something puzzling about his Wildcats, considering that itβs now mid-January.
βWeβre trying to find ourselves,β Miller said.
Miller was answering a question about why he didnβt play key reserve Ira Lee for the first 16 minutes of Arizonaβs 82-65 loss at Oregon State, but his still unsettled rotation was just one of many things that the answer might have applied to.
Questions such as:
1. Is this a top 25 team or not?
Associated Press media voters dropped Arizona on Monday for the first time this season, possibly having enough after a maddening trend in which it was difficult to figure how good the Wildcats actually are.
UA has closely played three Top 10 teams β Baylor, Gonzaga and Oregon β which has helped the Wildcats stay in the computer-driven top 25s.
But the Wildcats still donβt have a signature win. Their best one so far was probably a Nov. 10 home game with Illinois during which the Illini (and the rest of college basketball) didnβt know yet how important it was to defend Zeke Nnaji, who went 9 for 12 from the field in that game.
So with five losses in its past seven games, Arizona finished with the 33rd-most votes in the AP poll Monday. The Wildcats are No. 18 in both the NET and Kenpom, and No. 16 in Torvik ratings, though they are No. 39 in Sagarin.
2. What is their defensive identity?
Oregon Stateβs zone defenses have often caused the Wildcats trouble over recent seasons, and Sundayβs game was no exception, with UA shooting just 39.6% from the field while making just 5 of 17 3-pointers.
But this time the Wildcats added constant breakdowns on the other end of the court. OSU shot 65.4% in the second half, with Miller even briefly trotting out a zone of his own, something he was characteristically not wild about doing.
βWhen you get into a deficit on the road and you start doing things that you donβt normally do, that doesnβt oftentimes solve it,β Miller said. βWe had no answers for their ability on offense and they kept it really simple.
βI think in the first 10-15 seconds of the possession they just ran like false motion to be deliberate, and then they did an excellent job of just taking that matchup and scoring on us. We were a team that doesnβt really deny in the passing lanes. I think they got three backdoors. We fouled the jump shooter two times, and thatβs been a big emphasis.β
βWe got outclassed.β
Not only did OSU standouts Tres Tinkle (20 points) and Ethan Thompson (18) get theirs but so did unheralded guys such as Alfred Hollins (5-for-8 shooting) and Zach Reichle (11 points).
βReally, we had a hard time on Reichel, and Alfred Hollins played really good as well,β Miller said. βItβs tough.β
The Wildcats also struggled to match up with Tinkle when he played inside, part of the reason Miller said he did not play Lee at the beginning of Sundayβs game.
βOne thing about Oregon State β when they play Tinkle at the four and have three guards, theyβre small,β Miller said. βSo you have to either be able to take advantage of that inside and in rebounding β and if you canβt, then you try to match up with them.
βI think in many ways we were caught in between. I donβt know if we were clearly matched up. We certainly didnβt take advantage of them inside.β
3. What is their most effective rotation?
While Miller said heβs been able to define roles better in recent weeks, the distribution of minutes still varies wildly at times, sometimes because of matchups β and sometimes because guys just arenβt cutting it.
Miller didnβt play Lee early Sunday and only seven minutes total, while he sat out starting center Chase Jeter for the final 13 minutes of regulation and all of overtime on Thursday at Oregon. On Dec. 21 against St. Johnβs, he didnβt play Lee nor Dylan Smith at all in the second half.
Still, before Sundayβs game, Miller said he was not looking to change the starting lineup.
βAt this point, no,β he said. βThat doesnβt mean that that may not be in our best interest moving forward
4. Are they capable rebounders?
Considering Lee is the Wildcatsβ leading defensive rebounder by percentage, collecting opponentsβ misses 23.6% of the time when heβs on the floor, it is possible he might have been a fourth rebounder in the first half had he played more. Only three UA players β Zeke Nnaji (five), Nico Mannion (two) and Stone Gettings (one) β collected rebounds before halftime Sunday.
Overall, Oregon State outrebounded UA 31-28 and the Beaversβ seven offensive rebounds were deceivingly respectable, considering they only missed 23 of their 50 shots.
For the season, UA ranks 113th nationally in offensive rebounding percentage and just 144 in defensive rebounding percentage, according to Kenpom.
βRebounding is so hard for our team,β Miller said. βIβve havenβt seen a stat sheet ever, I think, where we played 10 players in the first half and we had only three guys get a rebound. Thatβs mind-blowing.
βOur ability to get second shots when we miss and being able to get defensive rebounds, itβs really hard for us. Itβs been hard from Day 1, and now that weβre in conference play itβs a big, big deal.β