Warm weather in southeastern Arizona isnβt done just yet as odds favor the next three months to be warmer and drier than usual, an extended forecast predicts.
Tucson will likely see slightly below precipitation and above average temperatures throughout October, November and December, according to the seasonal precipitation and temperature outlook from the National Weather Service.
These trends are also anticipated to continue through winter as La NiΓ±a is expected for a third year, the Weather Service said.
La NiΓ±a has caused winters in Tucson to be drier and warmer for the past few years, the NWS said. Last year throughout October, November and December, Tucson saw a total of 1.36 inches of rain. In 2020, Tucson received a total of 0.40 inches of rain during the same period.
The average amount of rainfall seen during that three-month period is 2.19 inches, the NWS said.
Before Tucson can gear up for fall and winter, the 2022 monsoon still needs a final push to get to average rainfall.
Compared to last year, the 2022 monsoon has been mild. But there's still time to catch up.Β
Temperatures this weekend are predicted to run a few degrees above normal, the NWS said. Both Saturday and Sunday will have highs in the low 100s.
The sunny weather is not expected to last long.
Increasing moisture will lead to scattered showers and storms as well as cooler temperatures next week, the forecast shows. Starting Monday night, there is a 20% chance of thunderstorms.
Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday all have 30% chances of showers and thunderstorms, the NWS said.
So far this monsoon season, Tucson has received a total for 4.48 inches of rain. August storms helped Tucson catch up, bringing the total to slightly below average.
There are still two weeks left for Tucson to reach the average rainfall seen during a monsoon. Typically, Tucson receives a total of 5.69 inches of rain.
The 2022 monsoon officially ends on Sept. 30.
Videos: Recap of this year's Tucson monsoon
Watch now: Time lapse of Sunday's cloud coverage, rainfall and lightning
UpdatedIntense cloud coverage filled the sky in the late afternoon on Sept. 11, leading to rainfall and a lightning show at night above Tucson. This time lapse was filmed on East Broadway near Rosemont Blvd. looking south. Video courtesy Southern Arizona Timelapses.
Watch now: CaΓ±ada del Oro Wash floods, community left to deal with damages
UpdatedResidents of Catalina, north of Tucson, are recovering from a flood that left them isolated for days. One couple shared how they are dealing with the aftermath of the water:
Watch now: Tuesday's powerful storm on Tucson's southeast side
UpdatedTrees and power lines were torn down by strong winds and rain in southeast Tucson on Aug. 23. The damage from the monsoon storms seen in this time-lapse video left more than 6,000 Tucson Electric Power customers without power, TEP reported Tuesday night. Video courtesy of Southern Arizona Timelapses.
Watch now: Nighttime lightning storms in Tucson
UpdatedThe Tucson monsoon brought on an evening lightning show throughout town on Aug. 23, 2022. Pascal Albright & Johanna Eubank / Arizona Daily Star
Watch Now: Flooding forces closure of Sunrise Dr. at Esperero Wash
UpdatedCrew members work to clean up East Sunrise Dr., between North Kolb Rd. and North Sabino Canyon Rd., at Esperero Wash outside of Tucson, Ariz. on Aug. 23, 2022. Due to recent monsoon rains, the Esperero Wash over flowed causing some damage to East Sunrise Dr. Pima County Department of Transportation has closed East Sunrise Drive between North Barrasca Ave. and North Ventana Vista Rd. Video by Rebecca Sasnett, Arizona Daily Star.
Watch now: Helicopter view of waterfall in the Catalinas
UpdatedThe Pima County Sheriff's Department shared a video on Aug. 22 from their helicopter, "Sheriff One," during a training flight near the Palisades Trail waterfalls, which is flowing in the Santa Catalina Mountains. The department warned hikers of possible flooding in the area following recent monsoon storms on social media, writing, "when in doubt, wait it out."Β Video courtesy of Pima County Sheriff's Department.
Watch now: Rillito River running steadily after recent monsoon showers
UpdatedTucson's recent monsoon activity has washes and rivers flowing throughout town, as seen here along the Rillito River near the North Swan Road bridge on Saturday, Aug. 20. Video by Jesse Tellez / Arizona Daily Star.
Watch now: Friday showers kick off Tucson's forecasted rainy weekend
UpdatedMore storms are on the way to Tucson and the National Weather Service said to "expect gusty winds, brief heavy rainfall and localized flooding" Friday afternoon. Video courtesy of University of Arizona Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences.
Watch now: Flooding in Nogales kills 3, prompts new dam
UpdatedFloodwaters rushed through the streets of Nogales, Sonora on Saturday, Aug. 13, resulting in three deaths, including two children from Casa Grande, Arizona.
Alfonso Durazo, Sonora's governor, announced plans Monday to invest in new infrastructure to prevent future flood damage. Video by CΓ©sar BarrΓ³n.
Watch now: Flash flooding hits Sabino Canyon after stormy week in Tucson
UpdatedThe National Weather Service issued a flash flood warning in the Sabino Canyon area on Friday, Aug. 12. The water forced bridges to close down and left some hikers stranded and waiting for the water to subside. Video by Susan Barnett.
Watch Now: A time-lapse camera catches a flash flood in the Foothills
UpdatedA Pima County Flood Control District camera caught the July 31 flood on Finger Rock Wash.
Watch now: Flash flood warnings for Upper Sabino Canyon
UpdatedThe Coronado National Forest Service tweeted a flash flood warning with the following video. "We are advising visitors to leave the Upper Sabino Canyon. The NWS Tucson is issuing a weather warning for the area," they tweeted. Courtesy Coronado National Forest Service
Watch now: Lightning strikes over Tucson during latest thunderstorm
UpdatedA thunderstorm filled the night sky with light on Aug. 10, as seen in this clip filmed near East Grant Road and North Euclid Ave. Video by Pascal Albright / Arizona Daily Star.
Time lapse of intense 2022 thunderstorm, lightning over Tucson
UpdatedThe Tucson monsoon gave heavy rain and thunder and lightning storms on Aug. 8, 2022. MoreΒ thunderstorms are expected todayΒ in southeast Arizona, according to the National Weather Service.
Watch now: Sweetwater Wetlands Park shows off monsoon greenery
UpdatedThe Sweetwater Wetlands Park in northwest Tucson is a safe haven for many plants and animals, and a wonderful spot for a stroll through nature, right off I-10.
Watch Now: Monsoon sunset
UpdatedA time-lapse of a monsoon cell trying to get organized over the southeastern parts of the Tucson, Ariz., area just as darkness falls, August 3, 2022. Video Kelly Presnell / Arizona Daily Star
Watch now: Monsoon showers have water running in Sabino Canyon
UpdatedAfter recent rains, water is running at Sabino Canyon, enough so that some bridges are closed.
Watch Now: Flood Damage inside Coronado Foothills Estates
UpdatedPima County and several utilities were on site on Monday Aug. 1 to clean up the flood damage caused by a monsoon storm Sunday evening. The storm filled Finger Rock Wash as well as streets and a handful of homes in Coronado Foothills Estates. Video by Rebecca Sasnett, Arizona Daily Star. Additional videos of the running water courtesy of Beth Giachetti, a resident of the area.
Watch now: Water running in parts of the Rillito following this week's monsoon showers
UpdatedRecent monsoon activity has brought running water back to the Rillito River in Tucson, as seen Saturday at the Campbell Avenue crossing. The National Weather Service issued a flash flood warning in Tucson on Saturday, which is in effect until 5:15 p.m.
Watch now: Intense water rescue in Apache Junction following heavy rain Thursday
UpdatedBody-worn camera footage shows a woman being rescued from a car in the Weekes Wash in Apache Junction after it was swept away by floodwater. The driver's dog, which had been in the car with her, was not located.
The Apache Junction Police Department responded to more than 20 flood-related calls Thursday, July 28, after the area was hit with heavy rain, the department shared in tweet. Video courtesy of Apache Junction Police Dept.
Watch Now: The leading edge of flood waters fills the Tanque Verde Wash near Wentworth Road.
UpdatedThe leading edge of flood waters, spurred by a few days of monsoon rain, slowly makes its way down the channel of the Tanque Verde Wash at Wentworth Road Thursday afternoon, July 28, 2022, Tucson, Ariz. Video Kelly Presnell / Arizona Daily Star
Watch Now: Time lapse shows Monsoon storm over Tucson
UpdatedTime lapse shows a large monsoon storm building up to the south and eventually spreading into Tucson, dropping nearly an inch or more of rain in less than an hour in Vail and midtown Tucson, causing local flooding and a few swift water rescue calls, July 26, 2022. Video by Kelly Presnell / Arizona Daily Star
Watch Now: Monsoon clouds over a Convair B-36J Peacemaker at Pima Air & Space Museum
UpdatedA time lapse catches the sun set over the exhibits at Pima Air & Space Museum as they open their doors for the final evening session of Night Wings. Video Kelly Presnell / Arizona Daily Star
Watch now: Harrison Road closed at Pantano Wash due to runoff
UpdatedThe Tucson Department of Transportation and Mobility shared on Twitter Tuesday evening that South Harrison Road was closed at the Pantano Wash north of East Irvington Road due to rainwater runoff.
East Escalante Road at the Atterbury Wash was also closed, according to a tweet by the department. Video courtesy of Tucson Department of Transportation and Mobility.
Watch now: Time lapse of Tucson's Sunday afternoon thunderstorm
UpdatedThe National Weather Service issued a severe thunderstorm warning Sunday afternoon for Pima and Cochise counties. Monsoon activity may continue in Tucson in the coming days following a wet weekend: http://tucne.ws/1kzz. Video courtesy of UA Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences.
Watch now: Flooding rages in Flagstaff due to burn scar left by Pipeline Fire
UpdatedRain from monsoon activity caused flooding this week in Flagstaff and the San Francisco Peaks due to the burn scar left by the Pipeline Fire last month. The video was posted by Arizona Game and Fish on Twitter, sharing that the videographer "said it was 'pretty intimidating' to watch" the event take place. Video by Tim Holt / Arizona Game and Fish Department.
Watch now: Time lapse shows Thursday thunderstorm sweep through Tucson
UpdatedThursday afternoon's showers brought heavy rain to some parts of Tucson as the storm cells moved northwest toward Marana. The National Weather Service issued a statement around 5 p.m. warning that winds up to 40 miles per hour were possible in Marana and Picture Rocks. Video courtesy of University of Arizona Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences.
July 1: Time lapse of Friday's heavy rains in Tucson
UpdatedMonsoon weather: This clip filmed at the University of Arizona shows rainstorms moving through Tucson on Friday between 2 and 5 p.m. Video courtesy of UA Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences.
Watch now: Time lapse shows Saturday's showers sweep over Tucson
UpdatedTucson got a taste of this year's monsoon Saturday afternoon as storm clouds rolled in from the southwest. According to the National Weather Service, the 2022 monsoon is expected to bring above-average rainfall but most likely will not be as wet as last year's.
Video courtesy of UA Department of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences.
