A sign encouraging COVID-19 vaccinations is seen outside the Villa del Puente dorm on the University of Arizona campus.

After several weeks of surging case counts, the COVID-19 numbers may be cooling off in Pima County.

โ€œThe optimist in me believes that we may be nearing the top, but it is way too early to make that call. And itโ€™s way too early to be sort of claiming victory,โ€ Dr. Francisco Garcia, the countyโ€™s chief medical officer, said Friday.

For four consecutive weeks, since the beginning of July, COVID-19 cases in Pima County had seen big weekly increases, up to 60% in a week. In the second week of August, however, cases only increased by about 4%. Then they only increased by 8% in the third week of August.

Itโ€™s too soon to know the final case count for the fourth week of August, due to normal lags in data reporting to health officials.

Although COVID-19 may be showing signs of plateauing countywide, Garcia called the sheer number of COVID-19 cases statewide โ€œstaggering.โ€ Arizona had nearly 22,000 cases reported from August 15-21, rising about 6% from the previous week.

โ€œWhatever happens in Phoenix happens here (in Tucson) and in Pima County, so thatโ€™s part of the reason why we need to wait and see,โ€ Garcia said.

Weekly vaccination numbers stopped declining around the beginning of July and have since shown a mild upward trend in Arizona and Pima County.

For example, the weekly number of doses administered in Arizona from August 15-21 increased by 5%, reaching 104,038 doses, according to data from the Arizona Department of Health Services.

In Pima County, the weekly number of doses administered increased by 17%, reaching 13,679 doses over the same period.

โ€œWe really are actually doing pretty darn well however you want to slice the vaccination story,โ€ Garcia said.

About 54.6% of the countyโ€™s total population has been vaccinated, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And 63% of the population has received at least one dose.

Statewide, just about 50% of the total population has been vaccinated, according to ADHS data. And about 55.6% of the population has received at least one dose.

After several weeks of surging case counts, the COVID-19 numbers may be cooling off in Pima County.

โ€œThe optimist in me believes that we may be nearing the top, but it is way too early to make that call. And itโ€™s way too early to be sort of claiming victory,โ€ Dr. Francisco Garcia, the countyโ€™s chief medical officer, said Friday.

For four consecutive weeks, since the beginning of July, COVID-19 cases in Pima County had seen big weekly increases, up to 60% in a week. In the second week of August, however, cases only increased by about 4%. Then they only increased by 8% in the third week of August.

Itโ€™s too soon to know the final case count for the fourth week of August, due to normal lags in data reporting to health officials.

Although COVID-19 may be showing signs of plateauing countywide, Garcia called the sheer number of COVID-19 cases statewide โ€œstaggering.โ€

Arizona had nearly 22,000 cases reported from August 15-21, rising about 6% from the previous week.

โ€œWhatever happens in Phoenix happens here (in Tucson) and in Pima County, so thatโ€™s part of the reason why we need to wait and see,โ€ Garcia said.

Weekly vaccination numbers stopped declining around the beginning of July and have since shown a mild upward trend in Arizona and Pima County.

For example, the weekly number of doses administered in Arizona from August 15-21 increased by 5%, reaching 104,038 doses, according to data from the Arizona Department of Health Services.

In Pima County, the weekly number of doses administered increased by 17%, reaching 13,679 doses over the same period.

โ€œWe really are actually doing pretty darn well however you want to slice the vaccination story,โ€ Garcia said.

About 54.6% of the countyโ€™s total population has been vaccinated, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And 63% of the population has received at least one dose.

Statewide, just about 50% of the total population has been vaccinated, according to ADHS data. And about 55.6% of the population has received at least one dose.


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Contact reporter Alex Devoid at adevoid@tucson.com or 573-4417. On Twitter: @DevoidAlex

Contact reporter Alex Devoid at adevoid@tucson.com or 573-4417. On Twitter: @DevoidAlex